Overhead Supply at 78.7%: Why Retail Loses Short-Term
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I counted 632 instances of price reaching overhead supply. It broke through 53.5% of the time, a coin flip. Why I am shutting down weekly per-stock planning.
#Investment Strategy
5 posts
Two Circuit Breakers, Then a Limit-Up: My July Trading Log
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I held a 10M-won SK Hynix position through the KOSPI's worst month on record and its biggest single-day gain. A day-by-day log from July 21 through the August 1 review.
SaaSpocalypse: Is the $1 Trillion Crash Overblown?
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A trillion dollars gone from software stocks. Fact-checking the AI fear trade with seat compression data and dot-com comparisons, plus rebound picks.
Leveraged ETFs: 460% Returns vs -45% Drawdowns
Kelly criterion position sizing, three portfolio profiles from conservative to aggressive, and the seven triggers that mean liquidate immediately.
3x ETFs Lose Half Your Money in a 10-Year Sideways Market
Why does money vanish when the market goes nowhere? 10-year simulations prove the structural cost of daily rebalancing in bull, sideways, and bear markets.