16 posts
SanDisk fell 11% the day Bernstein raised its target to $3,000. The four reasons good news became a sell signal, an 850% surge at a 77x P/E, Hynix-ADR premium erosion, and the WD overhang, plus the downside scenarios.
Intel (INTC) +97% vs AMD +28% post-earnings: decomposing the rally via P/S normalization, SOTP, and cycle-peak scorecard. 12M PT INTC $104, AMD $413. Top Pick AMD, but neither has margin of safety.
Intel (INTC) +97% and AMD +28% after earnings. A beginner-friendly walkthrough of the two semis rivals, the 'AI inference needs CPU too' narrative, and which one (if any) you should buy.
Cloudflare (NET) was crushing it, then suddenly announced it would lay off 1 in 5 employees (1,100 people), and crashed -24%. Is it really doomed? What does the company actually do? A beginner-friendly walkthrough.
Cloudflare (NET) beat revenue +34% YoY yet crashed -24.3% in a single session. We decompose the 1,100 layoff, GM compression, and four contradictions, and lay out our 12M PT $225.
Datadog (DDOG) beat revenue by +32%, jumped its FY26 guide from 19% to 26%, and even non-AI customers re-accelerated to +25%, driving a cumulative +39% surge. We explain what the company does, why it surged, and whether you should buy now in plain English.
Datadog (DDOG) posted a +32% revenue beat, raised FY26 guide by +7pt (19→26%), and re-accelerated its non-AI cohort, driving a +31% single-session surge (+39% cumulative). Fundamentals 11/11 green; here's how we get to a 12M PT of $230.
Put $1,000 into DigitalOcean (DOCN) last May and you'd have $5,130 today. AI revenue +221%, FY27 guidance jumped to 50%+, and the stock is up +413% in a year. Here's a beginner-friendly breakdown of what's behind the 5x and whether you can still buy in.
DigitalOcean (DOCN) printed a double beat on revenue (+22%), AI ARR up +221%, and lifted FY27 revenue guidance from ~30% to 50%+, sending the stock +40% in a single session. We assess the legitimacy of the +237% YTD, +413% 1-year run and derive a 12M price target of $185.
SanDisk (SNDK) posted +251% YoY revenue ($5.95B), 78.4% Non-GAAP GM, and $42B locked in via NBM multi-year contracts, sending shares +46.8% in 6 sessions post-earnings. We analyze the NBM model and our $1,800 12M PT.
₩1M put in last May would now be ₩33M. SanDisk (SNDK), the USB-stick maker, jumped +3,685% one year after its spin-off. AI giants pre-booked $42B of memory for five years and margins hit a record 78%. Here's what's happening, in beginner-friendly terms.
ServiceNow (NOW) was perfect on revenue, profit, and cash flow, but a single line about 'slight slowdown next quarter' triggered a -17.75% crash. We explain the AI-era rule that markets trade acceleration, not levels, in plain English.
ServiceNow (NOW) beat on revenue, EPS, cRPO, and FCF, yet plunged -17.75% post-earnings. We dissect the multiple compression: three quarters of cRPO deceleration, Armis -200bp FCF self-discount, and the 'multi-year story' confession.
Is Palantir stock a buy right now? Its fundamentals score near-perfect, but one critical weakness holds it back. We break down 10 key metrics to assess PLTR's fair value.
ServiceNow stock crashed 53% from highs, but 98% of customers never leave. We score 10 key fundamentals, compare NOW vs CRM vs WDAY, and estimate fair value.
Q4 revenue +70%, Rule of 40 = 127, 1,300+ AIP Bootcamps. Beyond geopolitical momentum — five structural reasons behind Palantir's rebound, backed by data.